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blueridgefollowshare
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10-14-2008 7:12 AM
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blueridge says:
Zogby is usually right on the mark. Independent voters make the difference if this extrapolation holds true.

Meanwhile, the Constitution Party candidate is calling traditional conservatives and friends of limited, constitutional government (which Bush has trampled) to "not waste a vote on McCain", since he will lose:

Ladies and gentlemen, Barack Obama is headed for an electoral landslide victory over John McCain. John McCain can no more beat Barack Obama than Bob Dole could beat Bill Clinton.

I ask, therefore, Are not conservatives and Christians who vote for John McCain guilty of the same thing that they accuse people who vote for third party candidates of doing? Are they not voting for someone who cannot win?
I like this quote, if only everyone would do this:

As John Quincy Adams said, "Always vote for principle, though you may vote alone..."
8 Comments   | Add a Comment
10-14-2008 8:06 AM
jatfla
With those thousands of ACORN votes who is surprised?

I read this morning that Senator Obama has served exactly 143 days in the Senate; that is, the total number of days of being there. Yeah, he's ready to be our President. s/off.
10-14-2008 8:08 AM
ratilfar
Emm, this is a telephone poll, not a look at registration rolls.
10-14-2008 9:27 PM
blueridge
A Tuesday, Oct. 14 CBS/NYT Poll was released saying Obama 53%, McCain 39%. wow!
10-14-2008 9:31 PM
blueridge
this is a telephone poll, not a look at registration rolls.
Zogby is based upon "likely voters", which considers those who have voted in the past. Telephone polling is commonplace. Zogby has a record of being the most accurate.

If Obama gets 70% of independent voters then it could be a sweep of most states. But of course states do differ and the electoral college determines the final result.
10-15-2008 7:15 AM
citizenbfk
The empty accusations of ACORN involved in voter fraud (when we haven't even voted yet) are not true.

Making false accusations like this is part of an extensive Republican plan for massive voter suppression...this one way by intimidating and hassling a group like ACORN which works for the interests of the poor and minorities.

The poll numbers sure do look good. I'm a very cautious optimist but starting to let myself believe in an Obama victory now.

(Although these last three weeks are the Home Stretch and, in fact, folks have to work and advocate even harder than ever.)

The "poll of polls," also show Obama now with a solid lead beyond the margins of error and I'm seeing and hearing more ...
read more»
10-16-2008 5:28 AM
blueridge
Sean Hannity on radio today (Oct. 15, before final debate) interviewed Zogby about this very poll, as well as Rasmussen on his poll, which he considered to be most accurate (mostly because they have the lowest point spread).

Zogby tried to make the point that his tracking showed that McCain's negative ad campaigning about the relation with Bill Ayers in particular, was not working, but back-firing, and that data proved it. Both pollsters said McCain had to make a great shift tonight or it was "over". (So my clipmark title is close to the truth).
10-16-2008 9:30 AM
citizenbfk
Post-Final Debate. McCain continues to come off as grumpy old man.

Obama's lead increases.

First Prime Time Media puts him over the 270 electoral votes to win the election: giving him 277.

Predicting he will now win Virginia is what put him over the top in this CNN estimate.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/
10-16-2008 5:33 PM
blueridge
Today Thursday, Drudge is headlining Gallup's new poll, which shows things much tighter (within error %?):

GALLUP's 'traditional' likely voter model shows Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain on Thursday, 49% to 47%, this is within poll's margin of error... Developing...
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