What’s Really Up With North Pole Sea Ice?


	What’s Really Up With North Pole Sea Ice?

wildcat

6-29-2008 5:52 AM

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tags:

north pole, ice, melt, climate change

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://www.clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/ea00384d-7248-4a6a-ac60-bec5321b40df/6B261293-6A88-47FD-A911-6D5C71138163/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/27/whats-really-up-with-north-pole-sea-ice/?hp" href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/27/whats-really-up-with-north-pole-sea-ice/?hp" style="font-size: 11px;">dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/27/whats-really-up-with-north-pole-sea-ice/?hp"><div align="center"><img src="http://content9.clipmarks.com/blog_cache/dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/img/E59611E2-C395-49DB-9350-8F1917BD630D" alt="old ice out" /></div></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/27/whats-really-up-with-north-pole-sea-ice/?hp"><P>The <A href="http://www.drudgereport.com" linkindex="32">Drudgeosphere</A> was all pumped up today about the “<A href="http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/exclusive-no-ice-at-the-north-pole-855406.html" linkindex="33" set="yes">shock claim</A>” in the (UK) Independent that the sea ice that normally persists year-round at the North Pole (<A href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/07/science-on-shrinking-north-pole-ice/" linkindex="34">I stood on it in March, 2003</A>) will be replaced by open water later this summer. </P></blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/27/whats-really-up-with-north-pole-sea-ice/?hp"><P>Given the unpredictable short-term dynamics up there, which make the ice subject to vagaries of Siberian winds and a mix of currents, a lot of <A href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/11/most-experts-foresee-a-repeat-at-least-of-2007-arctic-ice-loss/" linkindex="35">polar ice experts</A> tell me it’s pretty much impossible to make such a prediction with high confidence. In fact, the Independent’s story — the opening sentences and headline at least — go way beyond what Mark Serreze of the <A href="http://www.nsidc.org" linkindex="36">National Snow and Ice Data Center</A> tells the reporter. As early as May, ice experts were putting good odds on having <A href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/07/science-on-shrinking-north-pole-ice/" linkindex="37">open water at the North Pole</A>. [UPDATE 11 p.m.: Gavin Schmidt of Realclimate.org muses on <A href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=576" linkindex="38">why the media hyperventilate over polar non-news</A> developments.]</P></blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;">&nbsp;</td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/6B261293-6A88-47FD-A911-6D5C71138163/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content6.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>

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