Large contribution of sea surface warming to recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity


	Large contribution of sea surface warming to recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity

kmcolo

1-30-2008 5:33 PM

310 views

tags:

science, global warming, climate change, hurricanes

3 Comments |

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1-30-2008 8:23 PM

Kauaiguy

Good article.. I wish more would take science seriously. It's what got us into this mess and what will get us out. Hopefully.

1-31-2008 12:57 AM

davboz

"this mess" ?????????

1-31-2008 1:01 AM

davboz

Our analysis does not identify whether warming induced by greenhouse gases contributed to the increase in hurricane activity,

Details.Details.But never mind that...........
I need you all to keep believin' this stuff. I missed out on the tech and housing bubbles, so I'm countin' on this to be a big one.

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<div style="margin: 12px 0px; font-family: arial; color: #333333; background: #ffffff; border: solid 4px #e5e5e5; width: 100%; clear: left;"><div class="CM_CTB_Content_Wrap" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border-bottom: solid 1px #dcdcdc; white-space: nowrap; margin-bottom: 8px; background-color: #eeeeee ;background-image: url(http://www.clipmarks.com/images/source-bg.gif); background-repeat: repeat-x; height: 24px; line-height: 24px; vertical-align: middle; padding-bottom: 4px; color: #666666; font-size: 10px;" ><a href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/" title="see clips that are hot right now"><img src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_embed/ad3d30c4-8af7-4174-97ef-76ddf40d240f/CF1CEC55-C01D-465D-BCDE-FA24411D5542/" alt="" width="19" height="19" border="0" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" /></a>clipped from <a title="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html" href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html" style="font-size: 11px;">www.nature.com</a></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html">Atlantic hurricane activity has increased significantly since 1995</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html">It is widely thought that rising Atlantic sea surface temperatures have had a role in this<SUP><A href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/full/nature06422.html#B16">16, </A></SUP><SUP><A href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/full/nature06422.html#B17">17</A></SUP>, but the magnitude of this contribution is not known.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html">Here we quantify this contribution for storms that formed in the tropical North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html">a 0.5 °C increase in sea surface temperature is associated with a <IMG alt="approx" src="http://www.nature.com/__chars/math/special/sim/black/med/base/glyph.gif" />40% increase in hurricane frequency and activity.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html">local sea surface warming was responsible for <IMG alt="approx" src="http://www.nature.com/__chars/math/special/sim/black/med/base/glyph.gif" />40% of the increase in hurricane activity relative to the 1950–2000 average between 1996 and 2005.</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html">Our analysis does not identify whether warming induced by greenhouse gases contributed to the increase in hurricane activity, but the ability of climate models to reproduce the observed relationship between hurricanes and sea surface temperature will serve as a useful means of assessing</blockquote><div style="height: 2px; font-size: 2px; background: #dcdcdc; border-bottom: solid 1px #f5f5f5; margin: 2px 4px;"></div><blockquote style="text-align: left; padding: 0px 8px; margin: 4px 0px 8px 0px; background: transparent; border: none;" cite="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7178/abs/nature06422.html">Atlantic hurricane activity.</blockquote></div><div style="margin: 0px 6px 6px 4px;"><table style="font-size: 11px;border-spacing: 0px;padding: 0px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tr><td style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;">&nbsp;</td><td align="right" style="background:transparent;border-width:0px;padding:0px;width:107px" width="107"><a href="http://clipmarks.com/share/CF1CEC55-C01D-465D-BCDE-FA24411D5542/blog/" title="blog or email this clip"><img src="http://content6.clipmarks.com/images/c2b-foot.png" border="0" alt="blog it" width="107" height="17" style="border-width:0px;padding:0px;margin:0px;" /></a></td></tr></table></div></div>

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