even if sea level rise will be lower than expected, it may stay a big threat when natural disaster like tsunami happen. While height of tsunami is less than 1m, the power of tsunami is enough to throw down people. We remember though the tsunami wasn't so high, it broke down everything near the coast of Indonesia. Sea level rise isn't influential for all peoples on the earth, but it's influential for some peoples like Indian, peoples of AOSIS, and also Japanese (If sea level rises 1m, 90% of coast of Japan is thought to disappear. Also, Okinotorishima, which relates to economy and security, will disappear in the sea). But if the issue isn't influential to each country we belong, is it total... But you are ignoring the trend. Every single report lowers the expected rise in the sea level. Even though the alarmists are becoming more and more shrill, better science is reducing the effects and cause of global warming. Notice how they release the political end of the report but are holding the actual scientific part of the report off for another six months. You wouldn't know it from news reports because of all the alarmists, but the real report is actually less alarmist than the last one which was less alarmist than the one before it. The true consensus is things aren't as bad as we thought they were and as science improves they are getting better. @n2sooners, You are good. *POP* I'm glad to see people are finally acquiring common sense The true consensus is things aren't as bad as we thought they were and as science improves they are getting better.I got it. I just wanted to say how natural disasters may be horrific even though the science is improving the prediction and the result becomes less threat. Frankly saying, whether the sea level rise is 1m or higher, even lower, the damage will be huge for some of the peoples It's sure that 7m of sea level rise is, "No way!". The scientific trend is indeed continuing to estimate sea level rise is lower than the science expected, but how far will be this trend continuing? Hmm...the sea level may fall. Still I don't think climatology is as linear as the mathematics is. Here is the bottom line regarding the varying "sea level rise" numbers. Basically, if the Antarctica or Greenland ice shelves break up, we're talking about a 25 - 30 ft. rise of the sea level. If they don't, we're looking at significantly less. The science behind the breakup of ice sheets is somewhat new and is quite unpredictable, thus many agencies issuing reports don't feel comfortable including the Antarctica or Greenland ice sheet break ups in their predictions. Mr. Gore took the more alarmist approach and included them in his movie, so the 25 ft rise number is getting a lot of attention. One interesting thing I've noticed, however, that Gore didn't include in his movie (because it a... One interesting thing I've noticed, however, that Gore didn't include in his movie (because it appears that it was announced after the movie was completed): Small earthquakes in Greenland, caused by sliding glaciers, became twice as frequent in the previous five years: Ekström et al. (2006).Just moment..., perhaps he 'may not' the research into his movie more than he didn't intentionally, because making movie takes us, I believe, half a year at least. I remember the movie was released in 2006, and the research appeared in the same year. Of course he should introduce the research into his discourses as soon as he noticed, but probably because the movie was based on previous d... Ah, sorry, you've totally said the same thing! :o |
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