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willhelmfollowshare
3-7-2008 12:48 AM526 views
willhelm says:
"How did modern researchers make such a mistake? They relied upon equations derived over 80 years ago, equations which left off one term from the final solution."

"Looking at a series of differential equations for the greenhouse effect, he noticed the solution -- originally done in 1922 by Arthur Milne, but still used by climate researchers today -- ignored boundary conditions by assuming an "infinitely thick" atmosphere. Similar assumptions are common when solving differential equations; they simplify the calculations and often result in a result that still very closely matches reality. But not always."

"So Miskolczi re-derived the solution, this time using the proper boundary conditions for an atmosphere that is not infinite. His result included a new term, which acts as a negative feedback to counter the positive forcing. At low levels, the new term means a small difference ... but as greenhouse gases rise, the negative feedback predominates, forcing values back down."
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3-7-2008 12:50 AM
willhelm
NASA refused to release the results. Miskolczi believes their motivation is simple. "Money", he tells DailyTech. Research that contradicts the view of an impending crisis jeopardizes funding, not only for his own atmosphere-monitoring project, but all climate-change research. Currently, funding for climate research tops $5 billion per year.

Miskolczi resigned in protest, stating in his resignation letter, "Unfortunately my working relationship with my NASA supervisors eroded to a level that I am not able to tolerate. My idea of the freedom of science cannot coexist with the recent NASA practice of handling new climate change related scientific results."

His theory was eventually publi...
3-7-2008 12:53 AM
willhelm
The equations also answer thorny problems raised by current theory, which doesn't explain why "runaway" greenhouse warming hasn't happened in the Earth's past. The new theory predicts that greenhouse gas increases should result in small, but very rapid temperature spikes, followed by much longer, slower periods of cooling -- exactly what the paleoclimatic record demonstrates.

However, not everyone is convinced. Dr. Stephen Garner, with the NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), says such negative feedback effects are "not very plausible". Reto Ruedy of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies says greenhouse theory is "200 year old science" and doubts the possibility of d...
3-7-2008 1:42 PM
willhelm
That is assuming you buy the notion there is a consensus. There is not. Also, history is full of instances where the prevailing wisdom of the science was proven wrong.
One thing you could do is research individual scientists who are willing to put their reputations on the line and state unequivocally that global warming is a fact. The scientists that speak individually and not for some group that oppose agw will far out number the number of scientists you find supporting it.
Besides, I am not asking you "to buy" anything. I do not care if you agree with me or not. I only ask that those who believe global warming present a reason for their belief. They only present alarmism, fear-mongering,...
3-7-2008 3:30 PM
Kauaiguy
Good find willhelm,

We'll see what becomes of these findings after further peer review..
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